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Volume 1 |
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Automotive
Industry Report
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| Introduction |
42 Volt Systems
are rapidly emerging as the technical solution for improved
emissions, fuel consumption and higher electrical power requirements.
These higher power requirements can not be cost effectively
or technically supplied by a 12V system.
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Assuming a 6 to 8kW
power requirement, it now becomes practical to combine the starter
and alternator into a single starter-generator unit. This combination
with the peak overload torque provides the capability for mini-hybrid
(not to be confused with the full hybrids) start / stop operation
at zero or little extra cost. Small engine performance, critical
to 42 Volt adoption, is thus enhanced along with emissions and
fuel consumption.
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42 Volts will reduce
the cost of some existing systems including: coil on plug, many
solenoid operated devices, motor drive circuits, large power connectors,
etc. But it will also lead to cost increases on certain types
of devices such as relays, mechanical power switches, coil winding,
motor components, etc.
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42 Volts and its resulting
higher power will be the enabler for a range of new technologies
and the change agent for many others. Typical applications will
include electric power steering, water pumps and door closures,
advanced braking and suspension systems, hermetically sealed air
conditioning, and further displacement of viscous fan drives.
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| The
42-volt System |
This TIER ONE study
reports on the developing market, its relevant technologies and
their implementation in the forthcoming transition to 42-volt
electrical systems.
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| Opportunity |
The study profiles
and provides a comprehensive assessment of emerging market opportunities
for 42-Volt Electrical Systems. The transition to 42V will span
this decade and provide extraordinary growth and product opportunities
for electronics companies. It may also adversely affects companies
who manufacture many of the electromechanical components now used
in high volume applications. High current switch's and relays
are obvious candidates for change. There are other technology
challenges for devices such as brush less electric motors, while
not cost effective today, could be beneficial in future automotive
applications.
The report covers
North America, Japan, and Europe.
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| Why
42 Volts? |
Driving forces vary
by geographic market, but the major factors include:
- Mandated
fuel economy standards
- Mandated emissions
standards
- Higher electrical
loads from convenience features
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| Europe
Will Lead |
BMW,
Mercedes, PSA (Citroen & Peugeot), Renault and Fiat already have
plans for 42-volt systems in vehicles by 2002/2003. They are introducing
the 42-volt system as part of emissions management, a prime concern
in Europe.
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| Standards |
Currently there is
no global standard architecture for the 42-volt system. However
the German Industry have established one by default. The French
and Italians seem likely to follow.
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| Electrical
Demand |
Vehicle electrical
demand has doubled over the last 20 years. 12 Volt electrical
systems at the current power level have seen little, other than
evolutionary, change on a system where cost has almost always
been the primary design criteria. Today, 12 Volt systems are taxed
to meet the power demand and further, due to its inefficiency,
negatively affects fuel consumption. New electrical systems (42
Volts) with much higher operating efficiency are essential to
meet forthcoming demand. Moreover, the new architecture spawns
other electrical applications that yield even bigger emission
and fuel consumption advantages.
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| Safety |
42 Volt systems meet
government regulations for safety while higher Voltages do not.
It is generally agreed that d.c. Voltage at around 60 V peak is
unlikely to generate a major safety hazard hence special protection
beyond existing materials should not be required. While making
the systems safe under fault conditions is more involved, these
requirements will further generate new business opportunities.
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| Requirements |
42 Volts specifications
have stricter requirements. The most important restriction is
an absolute maximum transient of around 60 V. Based upon operating
current this makes the cost of the enabling FET technology very
affordable and easily within existing semiconductor production
processes. To enable this power conditioning transient, protection
is centralized at the source. For example, maximum negative voltage
is -2Volts for 0.1 second compared to -12 Volts for the old system.
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Concurrently,
battery and battery terminal protection is essential to ensure that
reverse voltage cannot be applied. A new and protected port for
jump-starts and battery terminal access must be defined. |
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| Data
and Analysis |
The primary objective
of this study is to provide market intelligence in the way of
systems architectures, benefits of change, automaker / supplier
programs and time to market. Analysis assesses developing technologies,
features and drawbacks, critical path implementation and standards
concerning the emerging market for 42-volt systems. This research
spans three regions - U.S., Europe and Japan.
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| Benefits |
For each automaker,
the study identifies the technologies and systems that benefit
from 42V, timing of implementation, current supplier relationships
and system technical problems.
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| Market
Size |
The completed report
profiles and sizes the market for 42-volt systems and complimentary
components. New technologies are forecast with adoption rates.
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| System
Technology |
Primary 42V systems
are assessed and analyzed for technical requirements, merits and
development challenges.
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| Component
Technology |
Critical 42V components
are researched for technical requirements with analysis of application
and competing solutions.
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| The
Major Players |
This report also reviews
automaker programs and those of their suppliers. It further profiles
products and outside technologies currently in a position to participate
in this transition. The report references key decision-makers
with their respective programs and identifies known Joint Ventures
and Partnerships involving 42V.
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| Issues
and Solutions |
Analysis also provides
a clear understanding of the issues, inhibitors, and solutions
affecting the transition and implementation to the 42- volt system.
Each system and primary component thereof is examined and reviewed
to determine application and merits for adoption.
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| Possible
Architectures |
The
final report also describes the varied 42 V architectures being
considered and automaker preferences. It will profile the differences
in driving forces between Europe, North America and Asia-Pacific
(Japan / Korea). |
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| Highlights
In the Report: |
| Executive
Summary |
|
Market Analysis
& Forecast
- World Market for
42V Systems
- World Market for 42V Components
- 42V Introduction Timetable
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Market Drivers
- Emission Requirements
- Fuel Economy Requirements
- Power Efficiency
Gains
- Increased Electrical
Power Requirements
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Proposed System
Architectures
- Single voltage
systems
- Dual voltage /
Multiple voltage
- Single battery,
dual battery
- Standards, status,
governing agencies, participating members
- Regulatory issues
and activities
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Technology Assessments
& Forecast
- Reducing Emissions
- Improving Fuel
Economy
- Improving Powertrain
Efficiency
- Improving Accessory
Efficiency
- Improving System
Architectures
- Braking, Steering,Vehicle Stability Control, etc
- Enhancing Power
Management
- Technology Inhibitors
- Complimentary
Technologies ?Component Standards
- Systems and Component
Performance
- Impact on Current
Vehicle Systems and Components
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Reducing weight, effect on lighting, et
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Standards
- SICAN Forum Bordnetzarchitektur
(Vehicle Electrical Systems Architecture)
- MIT Consortium,
Advanced Auto. Electronic Components and - Systems
- SAE (Society of
Automotive Engineers)
- 42V
Standard
-
14V Standard
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Automaker Programs
- In North America, Europe, and Japan
| - Daimler Chrysler |
- Renault / Nissan |
| - General Motors |
- Peugeot / Citreon |
| - Ford |
- Fiat |
| - BMW |
- Toyota |
| - VW/Audi |
- Honda |
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Supplier
Programs - 42 Volt - Systems
| -
Bosch |
-
Motoral SPS |
| -
Aisin |
-
Motoral AIEG |
| -
Continental Teves |
-
Siemens |
| -
Delco Remy America |
-
Infineon |
| -
Delphi |
-
Yazaki |
| -
Denso |
-
VDO Mannesman |
| -
JCI (Johnson Controls) |
-
Valeo |
| -
Lear |
-
Visteon |
| -
Magneti Marelli |
-
Varta |
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| What
are the driving factors behind the move to 42 Volts? |
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The European market
leads this development to meet forthcoming regulations for:
- Emissions for
gas and diesel engines
- Fuel economy for
gas and diesel engines
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Plus, a 42-volt system
is a better enabler or solution for:
- Direct fuel injection
- Heated catalysts
- Plasma catalysts
- Increased electrical
load
- Electrically operated
valves
- Start / Stop systems
- A safe voltage
- Reduction of parts
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Power train efficiencies
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The 'clean' engine, ...no accessory drives
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Improved systems packaging in small cars
Lower energy losses
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The U.S. market will
follow this development to meet forthcoming regulations for:
- Fuel economy
of gas engines in heavy vehicles
- Fuel economy and
emission improvements in diesel engine
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About
the Automakers Involved:
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- Who are the 42-volt
systems key decision-makers at each OEM?
- Who accepts the
42-volt system? (By region and by manufacturer)
- The perceived benefits
of a 42-volt system?
- Their time line:
Which vehicles? Why? When?
- Projected power
requirements?
- How will capacity
grow from 2kW to 5kW to 10kW
- To what extent,
other than standards, are OEMs and Tier - suppliers cooperating?
- What are the cost
expectations for 42V?
- What is their
relationship with selected suppliers?
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Automaker
Implementations
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- What are their
needs / requirements?
- What are their
strategies?
- What components
get converted?
- How will architecture
change?
- How do 14-volt
and 42-volt system requirements differ?
- How do they plan
to manage the power requirement for lights, small motors, etc.?
- Are they considering
smart battery sensing and management?
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About
the Main Suppliers:
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- What are their
activities?
- What product offerings?
- What products in
development?
- What resources
are committed?
- Their implementation
strategies
- Automaker development
programs?
- Joint ventures
and technical licenses?
- Strengths and
weaknesses to embrace the technical changes?
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Technology
Concerns For 42 Volt Systems
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- Major
technology issues / inhibitors?
- Competition from
improved 12 V systems over the next 10 years
- Specific issues /
possible solutions?
- The importance of
each inhibitor?
- What overall cost
is acceptable?
- Availability of
key components
- Other voltage levels
needed, 6, 12, etc.?
- Power management
and distribution issues?
- High power transients
/ EMI issues?
- Reliability issues?
- Safety & diagnostic
issues?
- Vehicle serviceability
issues?
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About
Complimentary Technologies:
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- Are enabling
components, fuses, relays, batteries, ready?
- How important is
each?
- Assess the 42 /
14 volt converter and 42 / 6 with and without a second storage
battery
- Will automakers use
the same parts to reduce cost?
- Which components
are key to 42 volts?
- How much value is
added when changing units, hydraulic or mechanical, to electric?
- What is the relationship
between the 42-volt system and its operating software?
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Standards
Being Developed:
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- What is
the level of participation of major players, users and suppliers?
- What is the status
of the standards?
- How will standards
develop, by region?
- What resources are
available?
- What test programs
are proposed and / or funded?
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|
TIER ONE is
a recognized leader in market research to the automotive electronics
industry. Its market and technology research provides automakers,
and systems and components suppliers with the tools needed to
make informed, strategic decisions regarding their businesses.
International in scope, TIER ONE conducts research and maintains
client relationships throughout North America, Europe and Asia
Pacific. Founded in 1991, TIER ONE is an outgrowth of Dataquest,
a Dun & Bradstreet company.
|
| TIER
ONE Industry Reports
- Automotive Systems
and Semiconductor Forecast: World
- Vehicle Production
Forecast: North America, Europe, Japan
- ABS / TCS / VDC
Market Reports: North America, Europe, Japan
- ABS / TCS / VDC
Technology Report: World
- Adaptive Cruise
Control Market & Technology- World
- Brake-by-Wire
Market & Technology- World
- Anti-Trap Safety
Systems, Market & Technology- World
- Occupant Safety
Systems Market and Technology: World
- Occupant Safety
Technologies: World
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Electronics: North America, Europe, Japan
- Body Electronics:
North America
- Powertrain Electronics:
North America, Europe, Japan
- Exhaust Gas Management,
Integration with Engine Control. World
- US Semiconductor
Manufacture-Automotive Market Opportunities
- North America
Passive Components - Market Opportunities
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| Automakers, System
and Component Suppliers. |
| |
| Stuart
Harris, Director of Research, Project Manager, is supported by staff
and consultants who are experts in the Automotive Market. Inquire
about biographies. |
| |
Deliverables
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| TIER
ONE will provide a comprehensive report of research findings in
a bound volume of approximately 200-250 pages. The report is available
via the Internet and TIER ONE's DataLibrary? An on-site presentation
is available at a nominal additional cost. For pricing and delivery
please click,
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TOC
| Excerpt | Press Release | Inquire
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